The Bitcoin price topped slightly above $126,000 back in October 2026 and is now down by over 40% since then. This move that has sent the cryptocurrency’s price below the $70,000 level multiple times since then, marking a possible entrance into the bear market. What is interesting about this move, though, is the fact that none of the 30 indicators that have previously been used to possibly predict the Bitcoin market peak has been hit.
Bitcoin Bull Market Peak Indicators Remain Untriggered
On the Coinglass website, there is an aggregation of 30 Bitcoin Bull Market Peak Indicators that track how far along the cryptocurrency is in the cycle. The process of these indicators are then used to map the probability of whether the Bitcoin price has hit its peak yet or not.
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According to the website, not despite the Bitcoin price falling, not even one of these indicators have actually been hit so far. Some of the Indicators are farther along than others, where the likes the Bitcoin Long Term Holder Supply is over 91% along to hit its peak. However, the indicator has still not been triggered. Long-term holders have trimmed their supply, but there is still enough BTC held by them to show that they expect higher prices.
Another interesting one is that the Bitcoin Dominance is yet to hit a peak. The indicator shows it is 89.8% alone, but with the dominance above 65%, it still puts Bitcoin well in charge of the market. This bleeds into the Altcoin Season Index, as the market is yet to have a proper altcoin season, which often happens toward the end of a bull market.
All of the 30 indicators have progressed by varying degrees, but with none of them being hit yet, the Buy-Sell indicator continue to points to this being a time to hold instead of sell.
Why Is The BTC Price Crashing?
So far, Bitcoin seems to have deviated from the traditional indicators and has begun responding to macroeconomic factors more and more. This is no surprise given the entrance of companies into the digital asset through not only direct buying, but massive exposure for institutional players through Spot Exchange-Traded Products.
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The most recent development that has adversely affected the Bitcoin price has been the budding US-Iran war, as the scuffle over oil continues. Bitcoin has managed to bounce back from the previous crashes. But with sentiment still firmly in the Extreme Fear territory, it might take a while before the market sees another major rally compared to 2024-2025.
Featured image from Dall.E, chart from TradingView.com