A crypto analyst’s Elliott Wave chart suggests XRP could be on the verge of one of its most explosive moves yet, but the real fireworks depend on where exactly we are in the cycle.
In a post on X, crypto analyst HovWaves said his macro primary expectation is still the same, adding that he has been looking for a $15-$20 price target for XRP and that the destination does not change even if the current structure turns out to be a different corrective leg than first assumed.
The $15-$20 Target That Hasn’t Changed
XRP’s price action since the start of the year has hardly resembled that of an asset preparing for an explosive move into double-digit territory. Even so, the lack of strong upward price momentum has not discouraged many bullish proponents from maintaining extremely optimistic projections based on technical and fundamental analyses.
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One such analyst is HovWaves, who has been consistent in his projections. In a recent post on X, the analyst wrote: “Macro primary expectation remains the same for XRP. Been looking for that 15-20 macro target.”
The basis of HovWaves’ prediction is that the Elliott Wave label on the XRP price chart can change, but the larger price objective of double digits stays on the table. He looked at the current XRP structure as a choice between a smaller-degree pullback and a deeper corrective phase, stating that the price action could either be a 4th on the immediate degree or a deeper Wave 2.
That matters because Wave 2 and Wave 4 corrections can look similar in real time, but they usually imply different upsides once the correction ends. HovWaves also added a key condition: if the market is actually carving a Wave 2, then the final target will likely be much higher. This is interesting because it means that the $15 to $20 bracket could be a waypoint if the bigger impulse thesis plays out.
Bi-Weekly Elliott Wave Count Points To Final Impulse
The chart features an Elliott Wave count stretching all the way back to 2013. In it, HovWaves shows a completed five-wave impulse structure from XRP’s earliest days through its 2018 peak at $3.4, followed by a lengthy corrective phase. This was a sprawling ABC correction that bottomed out in 2020 before a new impulse began taking shape.
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The wave structure currently in focus is a five-wave advance from that 2020 low. Waves 1 and 2 look complete, and Wave 3 culminated in the July 2025 all-time high at $3.65. According to the chart, XRP is now working through a Wave 4 consolidation with a downtrend and intermediate choppy phases before what would be the final fifth wave launch to a peak between $15 and $20.
At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $1.43, and traders are anticipating a break above $1.50.
Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com